Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000043 0.000047 0.000051 0.000056 0.000061 0.000067 0.000073
2025-11-30 0.000037 0.000042 0.000048 0.000055 0.000063 0.000073 0.000084
2025-12-07 0.000033 0.000038 0.000045 0.000053 0.000063 0.000074 0.000089
2025-12-14 0.000029 0.000035 0.000042 0.000050 0.000061 0.000075 0.000093
2025-12-21 0.000026 0.000032 0.000039 0.000049 0.000061 0.000076 0.000097
2025-12-28 0.000024 0.000030 0.000037 0.000047 0.000059 0.000076 0.000099
2026-01-04 0.000022 0.000028 0.000035 0.000045 0.000058 0.000075 0.000101
2026-01-11 0.000021 0.000026 0.000034 0.000044 0.000058 0.000077 0.000106
2026-01-18 0.000020 0.000026 0.000034 0.000045 0.000061 0.000082 0.000115
2026-01-25 0.000023 0.000030 0.000040 0.000054 0.000074 0.000104 0.000150
2026-02-01 0.000021 0.000028 0.000037 0.000051 0.000072 0.000102 0.000150
2026-02-08 0.000019 0.000026 0.000036 0.000050 0.000070 0.000101 0.000151
2026-02-15 0.000019 0.000026 0.000035 0.000050 0.000073 0.000107 0.000165
2026-02-22 0.000018 0.000025 0.000034 0.000050 0.000074 0.000111 0.000175
2026-03-01 0.000016 0.000023 0.000032 0.000048 0.000072 0.000110 0.000177
2026-03-08 0.000015 0.000021 0.000031 0.000046 0.000070 0.000108 0.000179
2026-03-15 0.000014 0.000020 0.000029 0.000044 0.000068 0.000108 0.000182
2026-03-22 0.000013 0.000019 0.000028 0.000042 0.000066 0.000106 0.000183
2026-03-29 0.000012 0.000018 0.000026 0.000040 0.000064 0.000105 0.000184
2026-04-05 0.000012 0.000017 0.000026 0.000040 0.000064 0.000107 0.000191
2026-04-12 0.000011 0.000017 0.000026 0.000041 0.000067 0.000114 0.000208
2026-04-19 0.000013 0.000019 0.000030 0.000049 0.000082 0.000144 0.000277
2026-04-26 0.000012 0.000018 0.000028 0.000046 0.000079 0.000141 0.000275